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SportMetrika, Inc. : analytical consulting to the sporting industry


* Home team won 60.8% of the time.

SportMetrika Scores for the 2003 NCAA Division-I football season.

LSU                   5.270
Oklahoma              5.197
Miami OH              5.163
Southern Cal          4.368
Georgia               4.327
Michigan              4.287
Tennessee             4.125
Ohio St               4.095
Florida St            3.957
Iowa                  3.954
Texas                 3.943
Miami FL              3.903
Bowling Green         3.894
Kansas St             3.602
Purdue                3.569
Boise St              3.515
Florida               3.505
Oklahoma St           3.272
Nebraska              3.228
TCU                   3.171
Washington St         3.127
Utah                  3.098
Mississippi           3.059
Maryland              2.957
Arkansas              2.679
Michigan St           2.638
Auburn                2.615
Texas Tech            2.595
Northern Illinois     2.568
Clemson               2.567
Oregon                2.474
Minnesota             2.386
Southern Miss         2.232
Missouri              2.229
New Mexico            2.085
Oregon St             2.061
North Carolina St     2.051
California            2.034
Wisconsin             2.009
Colorado St           2.007
Pittsburgh            1.943
Notre Dame            1.940
West Virginia         1.811
Virginia Tech         1.751
Virginia              1.736
Georgia Tech          1.707
Air Force             1.664
Colorado              1.663
Fresno St             1.633
UCLA                  1.585
Northwestern          1.559
Washington            1.515
UNLV                  1.418
Toledo                1.394
Boston College        1.341
Navy                  1.261
Louisville            1.240
Kansas                1.181
North Texas           1.139
Hawaii                1.125
South Carolina        1.121
Marshall              1.100
Texas A&M             1.075
Brigham Young         1.047
Connecticut           1.042
Memphis               1.006
Wake Forest           0.963
Alabama               0.955
Stanford              0.938
San Diego St          0.938
Tulsa                 0.909
Syracuse              0.784
Arizona St            0.776
South Florida         0.775
Intercept             0.688
Nevada                0.450
Houston               0.427
Louisiana Tech        0.304
Alabama-Birmingham    0.297
Troy St               0.232
Rutgers               0.168
Duke                  0.154
Cincinnati           -0.214
Arizona              -0.220
Rice                 -0.306
Tulane               -0.495
Wyoming		     -0.529
Baylor               -0.613
Western Michigan     -1.069
Penn St              -1.275
Ball St              -1.280
Mississippi St       -1.310
North Carolina       -1.375
Kentucky             -1.991
Vanderbilt           -2.082
Temple               -2.215
Kent St              -2.397
Middle Tennessee St  -2.689
Akron                -2.982
Louisiana-Lafayette  -3.070
Iowa St              -3.236
Arkansas St          -3.520
Idaho                -3.560
Utah St              -3.584
Eastern Michigan     -3.782
New Mexico St        -4.508
Central Michigan     -5.048
Louisiana-Monroe     -5.225
Central Florida      -5.385
Buffalo              -5.952
Ohio U.              -5.954
San Jose St          -8.000
East Carolina        -9.543
Indiana              -9.871
UTEP                -15.483
Illinois            -16.672
Army                -17.617
SMU                 -23.519


===============================

Using the scores of the game

Home Team's Mean Score:  28.11
Away Team's Mean Score:  24.61


The teams' "talents"

                        OFF     DEF Overall
Oklahoma             19.182  13.709  32.892
LSU                  10.477  16.859  27.336
Florida St           11.416  12.599  24.015
Southern Cal         17.205   6.544  23.749
Kansas St            11.046  12.641  23.687
Texas                15.128   7.968  23.096
Michigan             11.608  10.255  21.863
Miami OH             14.651   5.881  20.533
Georgia               4.830  15.099  19.929
Miami FL              4.033  13.655  17.688
Florida               6.940   9.344  16.284
Minnesota            13.642   2.434  16.076
Iowa                  4.051  11.662  15.713
Arkansas             10.922   4.038  14.959
Boise St             10.760   4.073  14.833
Tennessee             6.431   8.203  14.634
Clemson               4.698   9.574  14.272
Maryland              3.581  10.681  14.262
Mississippi           7.274   6.287  13.561
Virginia Tech         8.257   4.868  13.126
Auburn                0.794  12.327  13.121
Purdue                3.161   9.470  12.631
Virginia              4.706   7.596  12.302
Nebraska              0.433  11.624  12.057
Ohio St               1.318  10.379  11.698
California            6.515   4.797  11.311
Oklahoma St           9.152   1.918  11.070
North Carolina St    11.184  -0.575  10.608
West Virginia         5.560   4.981  10.541
Washington St         4.429   6.072  10.501
Texas Tech           17.051  -6.652  10.398
Missouri              4.076   5.623   9.699
Michigan St           5.140   3.967   9.107
Wisconsin             4.506   4.584   9.090
Utah                  4.179   4.435   8.614
Pittsburgh            4.541   3.525   8.066
Alabama               3.873   4.153   8.026
Colorado St           6.215   1.479   7.694
New Mexico            1.892   5.113   7.004
Oregon St             4.841   1.045   5.886
Boston College        3.713   1.847   5.560
Bowling Green         1.589   3.131   4.720
Georgia Tech         -3.391   7.639   4.248
Wake Forest           4.482  -0.379   4.103
Connecticut           3.232   0.227   3.459
Southern Miss        -3.705   6.941   3.236
Syracuse              0.393   2.698   3.092
South Carolina        0.378   2.563   2.941
Notre Dame           -1.343   4.113   2.769
Marshall             -0.112   2.743   2.631
Penn St              -3.957   6.343   2.386
Navy                  1.796   0.497   2.293
Air Force            -0.116   2.276   2.161
Memphis              -1.419   2.798   1.379
Northern Illinois     1.311  -0.070   1.241
Colorado              3.606  -2.398   1.208
Oregon                1.180  -0.380   0.800
Louisville            3.614  -3.420   0.194
Northwestern         -3.460   3.592   0.132
TCU                  -1.483   1.303  -0.180
Toledo                2.556  -2.828  -0.271
Kentucky              1.099  -1.555  -0.456
UNLV                 -4.610   4.010  -0.600
Rutgers               2.030  -2.695  -0.665
San Diego St         -8.143   7.312  -0.831
UCLA                 -4.799   3.838  -0.961
Kansas                3.075  -4.041  -0.966
North Texas          -2.379   1.229  -1.150
Washington            0.103  -1.351  -1.247
Arizona St           -1.193  -0.918  -2.112
Hawaii                2.366  -5.679  -3.314
Tulsa                -1.017  -2.451  -3.467
Cincinnati           -2.040  -2.477  -4.517
Brigham Young        -6.650   1.700  -4.951
Fresno St            -7.407   2.451  -4.956
South Florida        -5.936   0.806  -5.131
North Carolina        3.634  -9.883  -6.248
Akron                 3.006  -9.573  -6.566
Duke                 -6.264  -1.053  -7.316
Texas A&M             0.167  -7.670  -7.503
Alabama-Birmingham   -6.898  -0.793  -7.692
Houston               3.342 -11.548  -8.206
Temple               -4.661  -4.281  -8.943
Vanderbilt           -5.062  -4.055  -9.117
Western Michigan     -2.681  -6.483  -9.164
Troy St             -11.460   2.238  -9.221
Middle Tennessee St   1.547 -10.897  -9.350
Kent St              -0.003  -9.695  -9.699
Louisiana Tech       -1.548  -8.353  -9.901
Utah St              -7.018  -3.450 -10.467
Stanford             -8.717  -1.976 -10.693
Nevada               -6.229  -4.849 -11.078
Rice                 -3.066  -8.240 -11.305
Illinois             -7.293  -4.490 -11.784
Tulane               -0.417 -11.552 -11.969
Idaho               -10.090  -2.972 -13.062
Ball St              -6.722  -7.186 -13.908
Ohio U.              -7.213  -7.199 -14.412
Iowa St              -8.440  -6.095 -14.536
Mississippi St       -5.479  -9.682 -15.161
New Mexico St       -10.450  -5.160 -15.610
Indiana              -9.539  -6.245 -15.785
Arizona              -9.134  -7.192 -16.326
Central Florida     -11.367  -5.342 -16.710
Central Michigan     -8.952  -9.836 -18.788
Eastern Michigan    -12.561  -6.828 -19.389
East Carolina       -10.027  -9.516 -19.543
Louisiana-Lafayette  -9.972 -10.736 -20.707
Baylor              -10.777 -10.205 -20.982
San Jose St          -6.223 -15.641 -21.864
Buffalo             -13.009  -9.377 -22.386
Army                -13.654 -10.931 -24.585
Louisiana-Monroe     -4.691 -20.637 -25.328
SMU                 -20.585  -6.752 -27.337
UTEP                -10.554 -18.061 -28.615
Arkansas St         -14.151 -14.947 -29.098